New Math #2

Remember that every-5-days check on how fast we're getting killed off, versus "flattening the curve?"
Well, the model* I've been following just put us over 85,000 a bit ago. It was under by less than 500 when I checked in this morning, but now it bounced over.

It's the 13th. That's a 3-day interval, not 5. Deaths, not just new cases.

Trump announced victory. States are opening back up. Our own governor, Republican of course, is opening up pools and gyms. Driving by our nearest community center this afternoon, we saw a chemical tank truck with its hose attached to the building on the end where the pool is, and presume it will be opening soon. The news shows stories every day of people taking advantage of openings by assuming it's an announcement that the danger is over, then getting drunk in a small space with 200 of their nearest and dearest fellow careless drunks. Whee. So many are belligerent about some imagined curtailment of their "rights" to do whatever they damn well please, whenever, wherever and with whomever they like.

Gotta wonder how free they'll feel on a ventilator.

Individuals out getting their exercise in the mornings walking down the street tend more and more to be wearing masks. Steve had a phone appointment this afternoon, a follow up from his last visit, rather than an in-office visit. (He will still have to go in to see a pulmonologist and cardiologist later this month.) Orders from his favorite Mexican restaurant take-out with big tips, though they just opened up with half the tables inside blocked from seating. There's a totally inconsistent combination of open/closed and home/out and masked/not masked out there right now.

Cases are returning - literally returning to those who've apparently recovered from the virus. Children are getting and dying from what appears to be a new connection to or twist in the virus attacking only them, with rashes and high fevers, among other things. There was a new report this morning of the virus causing heart attacks in babies.

I'm not sure we need any new kinds of math to sort out how many and which people will get sick. I believe it's entirely predictable it'll all wash out to who's lucky enough to stay home because of financial stability, who's wary enough to avoid all those sparkly temptations dangled in front of our eyes, weighed against the length of time it takes to produce a reliable immunization.

* For those wondering where I'm getting my info, it's:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/?utm_campaign=homeAdvegas1